PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x93581Ad8500472E9D4fD6F05f81e916AbD476d5b-1776392276661

0x0bea7085c69e3e88eb098517f41f7b248f239e7c

Realised P&L
$-82.72
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$21.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.0300.040$16.00+$4.00
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes0.0200.011$5.25$4.75
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24? · No0.3800.000$0.00$3.00
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$25.00
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$10.00
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$20.00
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$20.00
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 02:46Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-02 02:46Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.2674999845$10.00
07-01 05:53Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY0.299999982$10.00
06-30 00:46Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-30 00:45Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.299999982$10.00
06-30 00:45Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.179999987$10.00
06-29 06:52Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
06-29 06:52Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
06-29 06:51Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-29 02:12Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.32$10.00
06-29 02:12Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-29 02:12Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
06-28 10:03Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY0.2699999896$15.00
06-28 02:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0013219247$3.44
06-24 04:04Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?BUY0.022$20.00