0x93581Ad8500472E9D4fD6F05f81e916AbD476d5b-1776392276661
0x0bea7085c69e3e88eb098517f41f7b248f239e7c
- Realised P&L
- $-82.72
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $21.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.39at 0.195Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$23.12at 0.306Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$21.05at 0.327Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$0.27at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$-16.56at 0.008Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 02:46 | Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 02:46 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2674999845 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 05:53 | Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 00:46 | Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 00:45 | Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 00:45 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 06:52 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 06:52 | Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 06:51 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 02:12 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 02:12 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 02:12 | Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 10:03 | Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |
| 06-28 02:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0013219247 | $3.44 |
| 06-24 04:04 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.022 | $20.00 |