Mche
0x0be028ed0a4e45fbc0fd8cecd32d765580ce1ec5
- Realised P&L
- $184.88
- Volume
- $533.6k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $985.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $985.51 | +$1.48 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 27? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.42at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12?
- +$3.32at 0.996Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8?
- +$2.56at 0.996Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30?
- +$2.55at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?
- +$2.51at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $981.02 |
| 09-24 10:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $979.04 |
| 09-24 10:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $980.02 |
| 09-21 03:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $975.02 |
| 08-31 01:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $967.03 |
| 08-31 00:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $965.03 |
| 08-30 23:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.996 | $962.14 |
| 08-21 09:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $570.43 |
| 08-21 09:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $318.36 |
| 08-01 09:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $956.04 |
| 07-31 03:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $955.04 |
| 06-30 19:49 | Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $940.06 |
| 06-25 21:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $936.06 |
| 06-22 21:54 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $933.07 |
| 06-11 22:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.93 |