bigheadL
0x0bdbe2e7518338a7ef8e2c9f7e3eb7028b63d5fd
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $66.1k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $186.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.045 | $186.77 | −$2.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.622Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$706.02at 0.655Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$544.16at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 22:49 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7799999998 | $135.95 |
| 05-20 22:49 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7434291798 | $2.0k |
| 04-27 19:26 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.7898304708 | $809.97 |
| 04-27 19:26 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.1847214922 | $851.59 |
| 04-25 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4923484999 | $423.58 |
| 04-25 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.5238979242 | $473.21 |
| 04-25 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6792308486 | $599.01 |
| 04-25 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7590730593 | $468.30 |
| 04-25 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6835799484 | $323.82 |
| 04-25 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8087322046 | $270.64 |
| 04-25 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.783432393 | $214.58 |
| 04-25 15:02 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.7946440128 | $1.4k |
| 04-25 14:48 | Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.7909084616 | $95.50 |
| 04-25 14:46 | Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.1953745248 | $98.15 |
| 04-25 14:31 | Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.8013704943 | $400.17 |