0x0bD436B7650f2A2A73152f92258e7c938F61582B-1782840929067
0x0bd436b7650f2a2a73152f92258e7c938f61582b
- Realised P&L
- $-80.93
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $77.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.00at 0.313Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$43.23at 0.377Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$21.49at 0.432Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
- +$21.21at 0.490Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?
- +$18.51at 0.600Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:30 | Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.73 |
| 08-03 00:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.68 |
| 08-02 07:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.744 | $0.62 |
| 08-02 02:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.784 | $8.92 |
| 08-02 02:15 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.272 | $3.10 |
| 08-02 02:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.8203886154 | $26.66 |
| 08-01 22:21 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.90 |
| 08-01 05:23 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.46 |
| 08-01 00:39 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3129230769 | $10.17 |
| 07-31 22:53 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.39 | $10.14 |
| 07-31 20:49 | Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 07-31 09:32 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.85 |
| 07-31 05:24 | Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 07-31 01:46 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 07-30 16:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.1267727735 | $3.74 |