0x0bD436B7650f2A2A73152f92258e7c938F61582B-1782840929067
0x0bd436b7650f2a2a73152f92258e7c938f61582b
- Realised P&L
- $-81.97
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $4.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · No | 0.310 | 0.485 | $2.38 | +$0.86 |
| Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.900 | $2.21 | +$0.49 |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$208.78 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will BetBoom Team Win the XSE Pro League · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.23 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.35 |
| Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.28at 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$40.83at 0.383Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$21.17at 0.432Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
- +$21.08at 0.490Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?
- +$18.45at 0.600Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 23:41 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.29 |
| 08-16 23:40 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.4425 | $8.85 |
| 08-16 23:28 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.683 | $4.18 |
| 08-16 23:28 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 08-16 23:24 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $5.53 |
| 08-16 23:23 | Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $6.02 |
| 08-16 23:23 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 08-16 23:22 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 20:52 | Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.37 |
| 08-04 19:56 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.06 |
| 08-04 19:43 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.24 |
| 08-04 19:38 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.29 |
| 08-03 02:30 | Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.73 |
| 08-03 00:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.68 |
| 08-02 07:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.744 | $0.62 |