tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur
0x0bd400947db20cc61f82af5ee98f6e5eecbaf2fe
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $259.0k
- Markets traded
- 553
- Open portfolio
- $134.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded553
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$990.46at 0.268Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$734.41at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?
- +$663.51at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 5?
- +$610.75at 0.260Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?
- +$463.02at 0.052Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.04 |
| 10-07 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0448969134 | $6.04 |
| 10-07 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.72 |
| 10-07 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0423954257 | $7.95 |
| 10-07 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0098126772 | $1.94 |
| 10-06 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.2614675668 | $35.63 |
| 10-06 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.2421307506 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.23 | $24.35 |
| 10-06 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.1764834025 | $13.61 |
| 10-05 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.1390645583 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.66 | $11.22 |
| 10-05 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.2461680802 | $3.19 |
| 10-05 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.45 |
| 10-05 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.2928602074 | $8.19 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.2825764895 | $8.77 |