PolyBot

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Traders

metwrong

0x0bc95c5f702f20e8e1ad3e7215b909db23639ec4

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$52.5k
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$864.23

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? · Yes0.2910.999$399.40+$282.84
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5? · No0.5390.440$224.40−$50.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4? · Yes0.3721.000$139.93+$87.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? · Yes0.2840.280$78.40−$1.10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5? · Yes0.2890.235$21.39−$4.94
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 5? · Yes0.2280.027$0.54−$4.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4? · Yes0.2110.001$0.12−$49.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3? · Yes0.3200.001$0.06−$38.32
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 13? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$16.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25? · Yes0.2980.000$0.00−$44.66
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$38.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 21? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$112.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$33.04
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$22.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 11:33Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5?BUY0.4268333333$128.05
10-04 11:32Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.1267741935$3.93
10-04 07:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5?BUY0.2839435714$79.50
10-04 07:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.3732166667$22.39
10-04 07:30Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 5?BUY0.2275$4.55
10-04 07:29Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5?BUY0.665$6.65
10-04 04:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?SELL0.6505171429$45.54
10-04 02:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?SELL0.1379994118$23.46
10-04 02:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4?BUY0.2386263333$21.48
10-04 02:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?SELL0.1711428571$11.98
10-04 02:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4?BUY0.1998095238$20.98
10-04 02:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?SELL0.212$10.60
10-04 02:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4?BUY0.177$5.84
10-03 10:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?BUY0.372494$186.25
10-03 03:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?BUY0.3198341667$38.38