0x0bb1ee29033dd41a144b8bd31d05f96b9199b767
0x0bb1ee29033dd41a144b8bd31d05f96b9199b767
- Realised P&L
- $-58.39
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.095 | $0.47 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.96at 0.140Will Nolo peak at Category 5?
- +$5.80at 0.210Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?
- +$0.81at 0.550Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?
- +$0.04at 0.480Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 20:45 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.38 |
| 09-29 20:44 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.10 |
| 09-29 20:44 | Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 20:44 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-29 20:44 | Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | SELL | 0.508 | $10.16 |
| 09-29 18:19 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.84 |
| 09-29 13:25 | Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-29 11:08 | Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-29 06:50 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:57 | Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-29 02:55 | US bank failure by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-29 02:45 | Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-29 01:00 | Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas? | SELL | 0.58 | $10.93 |
| 09-28 23:13 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-28 22:07 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.5 | $17.25 |