pennytrader
0x0bab92e0b6a95c151907054b6c8bdb8eac649eb2
- Realised P&L
- $876.46
- Volume
- $92.4k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $396.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.987 | 0.990 | $197.90 | +$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.984 | 0.990 | $99.00 | +$0.60 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? · No | 0.987 | 0.982 | $77.90 | −$0.39 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.977 | 0.996 | $21.34 | +$0.41 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.47 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.79 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.114Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$188.18at 0.901Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$137.02at 0.953Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
- +$126.35at 0.928Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
- +$80.00at 0.200Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? | BUY | 0.987 | $69.09 |
| 09-29 16:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.20 |
| 09-29 16:42 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $20.94 |
| 09-29 16:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $98.40 |
| 09-29 05:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $197.40 |
| 09-26 03:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $426.56 |
| 09-26 03:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.985 | $985.00 |
| 09-24 09:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | SELL | 0.968606 | $484.30 |
| 09-23 17:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $297.00 |
| 09-23 04:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.983 | $491.50 |
| 09-22 17:44 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $396.00 |
| 09-22 16:28 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $592.57 |
| 09-22 16:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $395.11 |
| 09-22 04:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 09-21 16:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | BUY | 0.986 | $488.07 |