herbertdu
0x0ba2a0a806ff648e90a5765b07d4d49ca5e97f35
- Realised P&L
- $305.45
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.693 | 0.740 | $1.2k | +$77.38 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · No | 0.598 | 0.730 | $789.13 | +$142.36 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.543 | 0.500 | $295.50 | −$25.22 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027? · No | 0.743 | 0.855 | $145.35 | +$19.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$321.85at 0.695Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 10:06 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6889701897 | $762.69 |
| 08-25 07:16 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7429411765 | $126.30 |
| 08-25 06:58 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4443902439 | $18.22 |
| 08-25 06:57 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4539506173 | $36.77 |
| 05-18 11:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $973.71 |
| 02-25 19:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.164 | $16.40 |