javier14
0x0ba1deb98a76bec94c6fc489db76213e557ce0e2
- Realised P&L
- $-5.05
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $21.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.950 | $11.52 | +$0.48 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.990 | $10.33 | +$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.83at 0.510Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$10.22at 0.750Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$5.04at 0.999Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?
- +$0.50at 0.391Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
- +$0.33at 0.982Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:11 | Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.9099999349 | $11.04 |
| 01-31 14:01 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.23 |
| 01-31 13:48 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.65 |
| 01-30 16:58 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.10 |
| 01-30 14:52 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $16.54 |
| 01-30 13:27 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.62 |
| 12-30 08:27 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.99427841 | $18.96 |
| 12-29 19:49 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.90 |
| 12-29 19:49 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.50 |
| 12-29 19:27 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999973 | $67.57 |
| 10-31 15:19 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.69 |
| 10-30 18:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.9959999689 | $27.71 |
| 09-29 18:23 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $15.84 |
| 09-29 06:08 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9819999998 | $17.88 |
| 09-29 05:52 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.76 |