Picksell
0x0b9ee332cef4ace68b10a546475af5cbf331154a
- Realised P&L
- $975.09
- Volume
- $89.7k
- Markets traded
- 518
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded518
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.26at 0.870Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$128.84at 0.644Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$127.54at 0.610Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 9?
- +$114.18at 0.486Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
- +$101.17at 0.288Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 22:34 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $130.00 |
| 10-13 22:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999984 | $43.00 |
| 10-11 20:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $170.00 |
| 10-04 15:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6709999996 | $60.00 |
| 10-04 15:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999991 | $75.00 |
| 10-04 15:32 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999985 | $27.00 |
| 10-02 07:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.8299999986 | $86.00 |
| 10-02 07:09 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0549999995 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 08:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7049999942 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 08:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.71 | $73.00 |
| 09-29 09:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999998 | $62.00 |
| 09-29 09:31 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999966 | $65.00 |
| 09-28 22:37 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999981 | $16.00 |
| 09-27 20:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.8799999985 | $23.00 |
| 09-27 15:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |