PolyBot

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Traders

Quantollah

0x0b9d9c3bb66645c0fe62e9d496f5f07cae058201

Realised P&L
$9.1k
Volume
$689.3k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.2500.885$1.8k+$1.3k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.125$875.00+$175.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6660.925$610.02+$170.77
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.1850.013$11.59−$160.29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No0.6000.900$6.47+$2.16
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$109.92
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00−$577.66
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.4380.000$0.00−$5.4k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$515.20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$75.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00−$110.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$20.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No0.2740.000$0.00−$1.6k
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$30.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$197.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 19:29US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$700.00
07-15 20:53Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.04$104.32
07-14 20:05Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1824999957$30.00
07-14 20:05France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6999999994$250.00
07-11 22:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.3597242108$300.00
07-10 01:58Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$400.00
07-09 22:52Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.1853928791$171.88
07-07 17:43Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.215$8.60
07-03 21:36Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.008$53.35
06-18 14:15Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?BUY0.0483117413$50.00
06-18 14:15Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?BUY0.0643259916$90.00
06-18 14:15Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1677460444$110.00
06-18 14:14Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.2990206747$91.12
06-18 14:13Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.7202409359$40.33
06-15 23:48 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.6237623762$1.6k