ElonMuusk
0x0b97ea3d3ed3fd6d8b3d44749fa34721cfc4e4f1
- Realised P&L
- $8.3k
- Volume
- $256.7k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.294Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.400EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$770.00at 0.230EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$672.18at 0.053Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?
- +$636.81at 0.367Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 12:10 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.41 | $16.38 |
| 03-30 21:59 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.003 | $64.49 |
| 03-30 21:55 | Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.25 |
| 03-28 14:56 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.25 |
| 03-28 14:34 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $200.00 |
| 03-27 16:55 | Based FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 03-26 16:21 | USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $111.72 |
| 03-26 11:23 | USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $87.75 |
| 03-26 11:22 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.26 | $165.92 |
| 03-24 10:47 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.83 |
| 03-23 10:50 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $101.37 |
| 03-23 10:50 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.023 | $13.44 |
| 03-18 16:31 | USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.33 |
| 03-18 16:25 | USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.85 |
| 03-16 18:24 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $0.21 |