winner123
0x0b97c6b3e2eedcf896b0d2c8d9b8a9caa0390efe
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $483.6k
- Markets traded
- 484
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded484
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.070US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.220Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$1.1kat 0.525Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$1.1kat 0.384Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 Corners
- +$680.00at 0.540Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 23:10 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.60836 | $304.18 |
| 08-21 22:46 | Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.21 | $137.55 |
| 08-18 02:17 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.55 | $148.50 |
| 08-18 00:32 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |
| 08-12 01:26 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.22 | $264.00 |
| 08-01 18:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $510.00 |
| 07-31 01:54 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.77 | $678.69 |
| 07-28 13:04 | Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.2 | $135.77 |
| 07-28 12:51 | Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.17 | $68.17 |
| 07-28 12:50 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.39 | $195.00 |
| 07-27 18:02 | Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.71 | $213.00 |
| 07-27 17:50 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.8 | $176.00 |
| 07-27 17:45 | Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.75 | $112.50 |
| 07-27 17:45 | Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.7571666667 | $113.58 |
| 07-27 17:44 | Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.68 | $271.99 |