PolyBot

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Traders

choppah

0x0b9168da5620dfab028b53c753a3be88d585ae77

Realised P&L
$30.4k
Volume
$1.85M
Markets traded
717
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded717
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4700.595$3.3k+$687.50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6900.765$2.3k+$225.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3310.405$707.87+$129.34
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5600.675$506.25+$86.25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1270.155$404.32+$73.35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0900.182$296.90+$150.22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1200.042$42.68$80.73
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0500.058$13.34+$1.74
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi · Luciano Darderi0.5150.000$0.00$185.62
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Travelers Championship? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$12.05
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$609.52
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$151.58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$8.41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 19:36Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.12$123.41
08-25 23:12Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.16$204.64
08-22 21:58Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.13$233.39
08-22 21:47Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.3482244024$521.77
08-18 13:48Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?BUY0.24$360.00
08-18 13:39Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?BUY0.008$0.47
08-18 13:39Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?BUY0.006$0.21
08-18 13:37Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?BUY0.52$110.80
08-17 23:59Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?BUY0.18$40.68
08-17 23:59Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%?BUY0.16$51.65
08-12 15:17Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.0152941176$26.00
08-12 13:50Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?BUY0.113$164.93
08-12 13:50Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.69$212.46
08-12 03:33Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?BUY0.1$109.94
08-11 23:39Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?SELL0.26$123.75