choppah
0x0b9168da5620dfab028b53c753a3be88d585ae77
- Realised P&L
- $30.4k
- Volume
- $1.85M
- Markets traded
- 717
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded717
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.259Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$4.9kat 0.490US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$4.6kat 0.196Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$4.0kat 0.308Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?
- +$3.8kat 0.074Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 19:36 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.12 | $123.41 |
| 08-25 23:12 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.16 | $204.64 |
| 08-22 21:58 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.13 | $233.39 |
| 08-22 21:47 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.3482244024 | $521.77 |
| 08-18 13:48 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.24 | $360.00 |
| 08-18 13:39 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.47 |
| 08-18 13:39 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.21 |
| 08-18 13:37 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.52 | $110.80 |
| 08-17 23:59 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%? | BUY | 0.18 | $40.68 |
| 08-17 23:59 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%? | BUY | 0.16 | $51.65 |
| 08-12 15:17 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | BUY | 0.0152941176 | $26.00 |
| 08-12 13:50 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? | BUY | 0.113 | $164.93 |
| 08-12 13:50 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.69 | $212.46 |
| 08-12 03:33 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $109.94 |
| 08-11 23:39 | Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? | SELL | 0.26 | $123.75 |