BernardSt5
0x0b8a104ad28d3d243a592bec6b45e25992d50af1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $105.9k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.925 | 0.957 | $977.65 | +$32.82 |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.973 | $104.93 | +$44.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$369.86at 0.790Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 31?
- +$50.34at 0.939Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 4?
- +$45.92at 0.976Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?
- +$40.94at 0.979AFC Ajax vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 0.5
- +$33.51at 0.962Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $291.84 |
| 10-08 12:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $653.00 |
| 10-08 12:00 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $652.98 |
| 10-03 18:13 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? | BUY | 0.9898470097 | $647.00 |
| 10-02 13:28 | Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31? | BUY | 0.5560975602 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 05:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $339.66 |
| 10-01 05:45 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $367.63 |
| 09-27 18:21 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $354.38 |
| 09-26 21:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $328.10 |
| 09-15 21:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $314.27 |
| 09-15 21:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $90.42 |
| 09-08 00:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649359406 | $389.83 |
| 09-07 23:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $390.22 |
| 09-01 16:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $378.88 |
| 08-29 19:51 | Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.1003353679 | $74.80 |