karsarpie
0x0b7e81df835dafe2701ca12aebe1e3ad3dfbd78f
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $169.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · No | 0.951 | 0.967 | $50.53 | +$0.81 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.965 | $49.85 | +$0.39 |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No | 0.944 | 0.961 | $49.63 | +$0.88 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.990 | $19.79 | +$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$980.00at 0.500Blue Jays vs. Reds
- +$625.90at 0.450Brewers vs. Guardians
- +$602.80at 0.450Pirates vs. Giants
- +$589.05at 0.490Astros vs. Diamondbacks
- +$516.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 12:15 | Blue Jays vs. Reds | BUY | 0.5 | $980.00 |
| 07-21 07:37 | XRP Up or Down on July 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $516.00 |
| 05-27 12:45 | Dodgers vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.56 | $525.84 |
| 05-12 12:38 | Brewers vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.45 | $512.10 |