PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

luxowig

0x0b6ad62ce1344841b6cf575f3b9f654060a40816

Realised P&L
$-30.34
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$9.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0900.085$3.78−$0.22
Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw? · Yes0.1400.150$3.21+$0.21
Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2300.215$2.80−$0.20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.00
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$10.00
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 · Over0.3900.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:21Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw?BUY0.1399999963$3.00
09-28 09:21Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.0899999989$4.00
09-28 09:21Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.229999987$3.00
09-28 09:18Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-28 09:18Will Venezuela win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.0699999998$3.00
07-06 19:59Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
07-06 19:59Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY0.32$5.00
07-06 19:58Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-06 19:58Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.209999974$5.00
07-06 19:58Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.209999974$5.00
07-04 21:57Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.25$3.00
07-03 18:55Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0309999941$5.00
07-03 18:55Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999975$7.00
07-03 18:55Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0089999955$2.00
07-03 18:51Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.29999997$5.00