luxowig
0x0b6ad62ce1344841b6cf575f3b9f654060a40816
- Realised P&L
- $-30.34
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $9.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.00at 0.012Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$56.48at 0.266Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$47.97at 0.558Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$36.53at 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$29.43at 0.409Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:21 | Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 09:21 | Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0899999989 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 09:21 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.229999987 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Venezuela win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 19:59 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 19:59 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 19:58 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 19:58 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 19:58 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 21:57 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 18:55 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999941 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 18:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999975 | $7.00 |
| 07-03 18:55 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0089999955 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 18:51 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |