0x0b62dc4b1e8a4664af3d809f4085ccb23b65b8ab
- Realised P&L
- $-35.99
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $21.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.32at 0.220Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?
- +$5.00at 0.340Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$3.98at 0.181Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.26at 0.430Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.92at 0.480Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 16:39 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.12 |
| 08-25 15:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.054 | $6.00 |
| 08-25 15:12 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.53 |
| 08-25 15:10 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $12.79 |
| 08-12 19:32 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.063 | $4.99 |
| 08-09 18:51 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-06 19:21 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 17:58 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 17:51 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $8.36 |
| 07-27 18:49 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 07-26 18:30 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $6.75 |
| 07-18 17:07 | Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Veronika Podrez vs Tereza Krejcova | BUY | 0.07 | $1.61 |
| 07-18 17:04 | Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Veronika Podrez vs Tereza Krejcova | BUY | 0.12 | $1.10 |
| 07-18 16:46 | Generali Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Michele Ribecai | BUY | 0.08 | $1.10 |
| 07-18 16:30 | Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.06 | $1.10 |