PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0b62dc4b1e8a4664af3d809f4085ccb23b65b8ab

Realised P&L
$-35.99
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$21.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.0750.024$14.58$31.20
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1010.065$4.71$2.61
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2490.045$2.43$11.04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$3.10
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Arthur Rinderknech0.0400.000$0.00$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 5? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.15
Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Miriana Tona · Miriana Tona0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Criollos de Caguas vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce · Criollos de Caguas0.7200.000$0.00$3.60
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.10
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$4.35
Estoril Open, Qualification: Francisco Rocha vs Gonzalo Bueno · Francisco Rocha0.0500.000$0.00$1.10
Swedish Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Jover · Roberto Carballes Baena0.6500.000$0.00$3.25
Athens Open: Alycia Parks vs Maria Sakkari · Alycia Parks0.0400.000$0.00$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 16:39Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.1$4.12
08-25 15:12Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.054$6.00
08-25 15:12Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.053$2.53
08-25 15:10Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.54$12.79
08-12 19:32Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.063$4.99
08-09 18:51Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.13$1.30
08-06 19:21Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$3.00
08-04 17:58Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.36$1.80
08-04 17:51Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?SELL0.92$8.36
07-27 18:49Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.29$1.45
07-26 18:30Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.045$6.75
07-18 17:07Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Veronika Podrez vs Tereza KrejcovaBUY0.07$1.61
07-18 17:04Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Veronika Podrez vs Tereza KrejcovaBUY0.12$1.10
07-18 16:46Generali Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Michele RibecaiBUY0.08$1.10
07-18 16:30Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro TabiloBUY0.06$1.10