0x0B6236541B1D9f92a3A98d21c60B4Ea8917Fdd93-1781546055086
0x0b6236541b1d9f92a3a98d21c60b4ea8917fdd93
- Realised P&L
- $-178.66
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $322.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? · Up | 0.577 | 0.730 | $204.10 | +$42.76 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? · Down | 0.338 | 0.270 | $108.07 | −$27.24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET · Up | 0.910 | 0.994 | $10.07 | +$0.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET · Down | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET · Down | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8PM ET · Down | 0.352 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.36at 0.978Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?
- +$13.47at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8AM ET
- +$5.81at 0.441Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9PM ET
- +$3.47at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET
- +$2.81at 0.822Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 07:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.986 | $11.83 |
| 10-21 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.28 | $12.60 |
| 10-21 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $3.88 |
| 10-21 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-21 07:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.04 |
| 10-21 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-21 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.52 |
| 10-21 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.3 | $11.70 |
| 10-21 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 10-21 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999703 | $3.52 |
| 10-21 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999605 | $2.64 |
| 10-21 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999703 | $3.52 |
| 10-21 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-21 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-21 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |