L8288
0x0b5c8ac159f3390a3c625a9fd8b40a02c5183748
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $314.9k
- Markets traded
- 642
- Open portfolio
- $31.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded642
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.60at 0.613Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$66.66at 0.892Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$55.21at 0.983Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$49.85at 0.948Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$43.59at 0.933Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:33 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.94 |
| 09-24 17:33 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.94 |
| 09-24 17:32 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.94 |
| 09-24 17:32 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.94 |
| 09-22 08:15 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 09-22 05:15 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 09-22 05:13 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $13.55 |
| 09-22 05:13 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $5.80 |
| 09-21 16:27 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-21 16:27 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-21 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-21 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-21 11:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.979 | $1.79 |
| 09-18 03:28 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.87 |
| 09-18 03:28 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.87 |