0x0b5b64562aa94bb8f5c8567421e577ae10e894d7
0x0b5b64562aa94bb8f5c8567421e577ae10e894d7
- Realised P&L
- $-214.19
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $0.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.060 | $0.91 | −$6.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.06at 0.850U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?
- +$4.13at 0.819Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
- +$4.10at 0.830Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
- +$1.69at 0.023Will the US strike Iran next?
- +$1.16at 0.811US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 21:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1289999445 | $1.93 |
| 03-05 21:22 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.91 |
| 03-04 20:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1629999721 | $4.35 |
| 03-04 20:17 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $4.37 |
| 03-04 20:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0899999207 | $1.01 |
| 03-04 20:11 | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7? | BUY | 0.3899999178 | $1.47 |
| 03-04 20:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1639999669 | $3.49 |
| 03-03 05:57 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799998592 | $4.00 |
| 03-02 06:51 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999043 | $5.00 |
| 03-02 06:51 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499998219 | $4.00 |
| 03-01 11:05 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.27 |
| 02-28 20:04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9549999952 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 20:03 | Will the US strike Iran next? | SELL | 0.043 | $3.69 |
| 02-28 20:02 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 19:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9539997772 | $4.00 |