0x0b525adfaf818658cff99a08651443beeb282266
0x0b525adfaf818658cff99a08651443beeb282266
- Realised P&L
- $-198.14
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $23.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.026 | $18.35 | +$8.35 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.959 | $1.92 | +$0.12 |
| Will Lana – Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.90 | −$2.10 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.018 | $0.86 | −$3.14 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.50at 0.596Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A
- +$0.97at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?
- +$-1.53at 0.357Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.00at 0.170Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-4.11at 0.098Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 14:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.80 |
| 07-04 13:56 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.50 |
| 06-28 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 17:23 | Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:22 | Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:22 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:22 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:22 | Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:22 | Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:22 | Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Korea Republic? | BUY | 0.0569999736 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:21 | Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:20 | Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Korea Republic? | BUY | 0.0569999736 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:20 | Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:20 | Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 17:20 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |