PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SoniaBorka

0x0b4b99616ec90b4f386b7897bcbc321a1b141f16

Realised P&L
$-19.52
Volume
$313.64
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$5.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 8? · Yes0.9900.965$5.26−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$6.17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$5.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:34Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 8?BUY0.989999901$5.40
10-07 13:08Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 7?BUY0.9889999998$5.30
09-12 07:16Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 12?BUY0.98$5.20
09-10 21:03Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 10?BUY0.99$5.20
09-10 21:02Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 10?SELL0.999$5.19
09-10 07:49Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 10?BUY0.9803883122$5.10
09-09 14:04Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 9?BUY0.98$5.00
09-09 10:49Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?BUY0.9$5.50
09-09 10:49Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9?SELL0.995$5.48
09-09 07:43Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9?BUY0.9433421621$5.20
09-09 07:42Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9?SELL0.06$0.31
09-09 05:32Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9?BUY0.96$5.00
09-08 20:55Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?BUY0.8599999944$6.17
09-08 07:14Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?BUY0.92$5.70
09-07 14:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?BUY0.9499999032$5.40