SoniaBorka
0x0b4b99616ec90b4f386b7897bcbc321a1b141f16
- Realised P&L
- $-19.52
- Volume
- $313.64
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.965 | $5.26 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.84at 0.811Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 5?
- +$0.72at 0.936Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 4?
- +$0.47at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?
- +$0.45at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 4?
- +$0.42at 0.914Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:34 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.989999901 | $5.40 |
| 10-07 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $5.30 |
| 09-12 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.20 |
| 09-10 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.20 |
| 09-10 21:02 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.19 |
| 09-10 07:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.9803883122 | $5.10 |
| 09-09 14:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.50 |
| 09-09 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.48 |
| 09-09 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.9433421621 | $5.20 |
| 09-09 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.31 |
| 09-09 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8? | BUY | 0.8599999944 | $6.17 |
| 09-08 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.70 |
| 09-07 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.9499999032 | $5.40 |