0x0b32C98ac510a2a970d366565D7C410c6d852538-1770193112323
0x0b32c98ac510a2a970d366565d7c410c6d852538
- Realised P&L
- $-33.32
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $3.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? · No | 0.300 | 0.175 | $3.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) · Minnesota Twins | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.73 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Angels | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.22 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.86at 0.560Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5
- +$2.94at 0.828Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ET
- +$1.90at 0.876Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET
- +$1.54at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3PM ET
- +$1.38at 0.918Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 21:27 | Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.062 | $1.70 |
| 07-18 17:36 | Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 07-12 07:18 | Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.0489999666 | $1.34 |
| 07-05 07:42 | Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B? | BUY | 0.6779104478 | $4.54 |
| 07-05 05:14 | Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 01:35 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.93 |
| 07-05 01:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.984 | $7.37 |
| 07-03 04:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | BUY | 0.9789999984 | $7.34 |
| 07-03 04:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | BUY | 0.9399999924 | $4.94 |
| 06-13 17:27 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | SELL | 0.8 | $5.10 |
| 06-08 07:44 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | BUY | 0.8299999435 | $5.29 |
| 06-07 18:56 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5199999515 | $4.72 |
| 06-06 04:18 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.31 | $4.22 |
| 06-06 02:50 | Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $4.93 |
| 06-03 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.559930742 | $7.92 |