traderzep
0x0b313b9b59568d4e5a367be16c1a9891a826a5ba
- Realised P&L
- $-22.04
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $468.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.203 | $468.81 | +$68.62 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea · Australia | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Bad Bunny win 0 Grammys? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.87at 0.128Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.70at 0.341First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei
- +$3.12at 0.260Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?
- +$1.43at 0.350Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
- +$1.35at 0.749Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:17 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 03:13 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.1994358558 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 02:53 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.059 | $0.67 |
| 08-06 16:12 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0885808536 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 00:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.125 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 00:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999772 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 00:04 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 00:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.126 | $12.79 |
| 07-03 01:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 01:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999854 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 04:14 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.37 |
| 03-11 04:52 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 03-11 04:52 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.2699999815 | $7.00 |
| 03-11 04:51 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 03-09 07:18 | First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |