PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

traderzep

0x0b313b9b59568d4e5a367be16c1a9891a826a5ba

Realised P&L
$-22.04
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$468.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.1730.203$468.81+$68.62
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2470.000$0.00−$3.60
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$2.00
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea · Australia0.2900.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Bad Bunny win 0 Grammys? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$9.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 03:17Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.2$200.00
09-22 03:13Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.1994358558$100.00
09-17 02:53Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.059$0.67
08-06 16:12Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.0885808536$1.00
07-04 00:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.125$5.00
07-04 00:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1799999772$6.00
07-04 00:04Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-04 00:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.126$12.79
07-03 01:26Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969999854$10.00
07-03 01:26Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969999854$10.00
03-15 04:14Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?SELL0.006$0.37
03-11 04:52Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
03-11 04:52Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.2699999815$7.00
03-11 04:51Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
03-09 07:18First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South KoreaBUY0.2799999048$2.00