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Traders

Samsara-Tj

0x0b2d454eadc96ccd74c04170b9b69e7cadf5601b

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$48.0k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$438.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · Yes0.4000.405$171.72+$2.12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes0.5800.585$140.35+$1.20
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.0460.069$91.72+$30.52
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.3800.420$25.20+$2.40
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.0960.067$9.74−$4.26
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? · $3k0.2550.000$0.00−$51.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$99.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$20.80
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 29? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$0.24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$170.00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$141.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 14:47Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.5799999978$139.15
10-05 14:45Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.4$169.60
06-27 01:01Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.38$22.80
06-27 01:00Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.64$104.67
06-27 00:40Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.0815306843$15.00
06-27 00:40Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.098751879$12.00
06-03 14:55MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.005$100.00
05-20 19:48Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?SELL0.2362946495$110.81
05-20 09:57Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?SELL0.12$12.00
05-20 09:45Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?SELL0.08$1.60
05-20 09:45Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?SELL0.06$2.40
05-20 09:43Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?SELL0.2108045977$55.02
05-07 20:24Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?BUY0.48$48.00
05-05 23:03Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?BUY0.17$6.80
05-05 23:02Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?BUY0.863$108.68
Trader Samsara-Tj · PolyBot Pro