PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0b1c081B1198D8b12e0c6819D12e37911f9616Dc-1775577164540

0x0b1c081b1198d8b12e0c6819d12e37911f9616dc

Realised P&L
$-10.56
Volume
$622.10
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$4.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? · Yes0.3300.365$4.69+$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:56Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?BUY0.3299999961$4.24
06-10 15:08Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999717$3.56
06-09 15:09Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?SELL0.16$1.14
06-09 13:21Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?BUY0.4199999272$3.00
06-08 19:12GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?SELL0.84$5.57
06-01 17:58GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.2999999095$1.99
05-28 18:59Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$2.10
05-19 11:31Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999611$2.14
05-19 11:22Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.0203526093$0.87
05-18 18:38Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.1175298622$5.00
05-17 06:58Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.07$1.96
05-17 06:58Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.08$1.90
05-08 09:15Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.026$2.34
05-08 08:30Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?SELL0.0025946286$0.23
05-08 08:29Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?BUY0.0114285714$1.00