0x0b1c081B1198D8b12e0c6819D12e37911f9616Dc-1775577164540
0x0b1c081b1198d8b12e0c6819d12e37911f9616dc
- Realised P&L
- $-10.56
- Volume
- $622.10
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.365 | $4.69 | +$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.49at 0.308GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
- +$0.66at 0.845Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.14at 0.532Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-0.82at 0.012Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
- +$-0.86at 0.035Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999961 | $4.24 |
| 06-10 15:08 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999717 | $3.56 |
| 06-09 15:09 | Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.14 |
| 06-09 13:21 | Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |
| 06-08 19:12 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $5.57 |
| 06-01 17:58 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999095 | $1.99 |
| 05-28 18:59 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.10 |
| 05-19 11:31 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999611 | $2.14 |
| 05-19 11:22 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | SELL | 0.0203526093 | $0.87 |
| 05-18 18:38 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.1175298622 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 06:58 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.96 |
| 05-17 06:58 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.90 |
| 05-08 09:15 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.34 |
| 05-08 08:30 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.0025946286 | $0.23 |
| 05-08 08:29 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0114285714 | $1.00 |