sichuanhotpot
0x0b0c7d6d3bc9172e58d0466884a0e6b72dec7992
- Realised P&L
- $-28.9k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $16.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.844 | 0.935 | $8.6k | +$836.27 |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.890 | $4.9k | +$828.21 |
| Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.840 | $3.4k | +$1.2k |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.5k |
| Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$855.92 |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic · Djokovic | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.2k |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.5k |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.8kat 0.500Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$6.7kat 0.686Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$6.0kat 0.500Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$5.0kat 0.902Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$5.0kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:58 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5499253729 | $2.2k |
| 10-10 20:57 | Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399637681 | $4.1k |
| 10-10 20:57 | Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.843665371 | $7.7k |
| 07-05 21:48 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.5k |
| 07-05 21:47 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.67 | $629.71 |
| 06-22 09:54 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0551247948 | $14.9k |
| 05-19 16:11 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9328458608 | $53.86 |
| 02-16 04:09 | Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.00 |
| 02-15 18:38 | Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0099879957 | $62.40 |
| 02-01 10:01 | Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.27 | $76.46 |
| 01-15 04:20 | Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $39.00 |
| 12-27 13:48 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8569463157 | $11.1k |
| 12-27 13:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $861.58 |
| 12-27 13:03 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.4k |
| 12-27 13:00 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $23.3k |