0x0b0be62659ffe56bffe302d0b2112d46dff3515d
- Realised P&L
- $0.45
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $397.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.500 | $176.78 | +$3.62 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.500 | $166.67 | −$6.57 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.480 | 1.000 | $52.08 | +$27.08 |
| Remote IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.055 | $2.22 | −$22.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.574Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$0.53at 0.470EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$0.30at 0.620Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$-0.16at 0.558Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$-0.30at 0.650Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-13 15:52 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.554 | $24.51 |
| 03-13 15:45 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5576212429 | $24.67 |
| 03-13 15:37 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 03-13 15:35 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.63 | $22.05 |
| 03-13 15:35 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.48 | $25.26 |
| 03-13 15:35 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $73.34 |
| 03-12 17:30 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.646 | $24.54 |
| 03-12 17:25 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $24.69 |
| 03-12 16:56 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.646 | $24.54 |
| 03-12 16:52 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $24.69 |
| 03-12 16:50 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | SELL | 0.58 | $24.17 |
| 03-12 16:45 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | BUY | 0.6 | $25.00 |
| 03-12 16:43 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.604 | $25.25 |
| 03-11 23:42 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.52 | $24.76 |
| 03-11 23:42 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.75 |