0x0b04cC81C7c011EF3023F4db2d74b10de9A9579e-1777525159727
0x0b04cc81c7c011ef3023f4db2d74b10de9a9579e
- Realised P&L
- $-19.57
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.001 | $0.46 | −$9.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.60at 0.026Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.537Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$-0.03at 0.012Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
- +$-0.08at 0.012Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$-0.14at 0.021MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 15:40 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.19 |
| 05-01 15:40 | Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $5.55 |
| 05-01 15:39 | Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.012572306 | $0.90 |
| 05-01 15:39 | Will Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.009265094 | $0.23 |
| 05-01 08:29 | Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0044962779 | $0.27 |
| 05-01 08:28 | PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez | SELL | 0.37 | $1.95 |
| 04-30 17:44 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 17:43 | Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0496225379 | $3.00 |
| 04-30 17:42 | PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 17:40 | Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.17 |
| 04-30 15:32 | Will Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 04-30 15:31 | Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.79 |
| 04-30 15:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.90 |
| 04-30 15:31 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 15:24 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $5.00 |