PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0B01d14B4f91ACdf61534543d4a645f142238F47-1766685782640

0x0b01d14b4f91acdf61534543d4a645f142238f47

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$918.5k
Markets traded
1,952
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,952
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31? · Yes0.6321.000$83.00+$30.57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0260.040$82.96+$28.50
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7930.435$66.99−$55.21
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.979$58.71+$13.11
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? · No0.0501.000$55.36+$52.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3780.885$46.02+$26.39
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? · No0.4161.000$37.39+$21.84
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$33.28−$188.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Down0.5501.000$29.73+$13.38
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.971$28.16+$3.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.8621.000$24.93+$3.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.4111.000$24.87+$14.64
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.002$22.50−$112.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.6851.000$21.85+$6.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.5841.000$19.96+$8.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 10:27Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-28 08:39Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-28 06:52Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-28 05:05Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-28 03:19Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-28 01:34Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 23:50Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 22:06Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 20:20Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 18:32Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 16:45Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 14:57Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 13:09Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 11:20Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 09:32Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.05