HOPSG
0x0b001afadaef0cd4d6458e9a8c9c24ab70615b09
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $458.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.410 | $205.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.695 | $173.74 | +$6.25 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.080 | $79.50 | −$50.50 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.70 |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes · Golden Knights | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights · Utah | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Oilers vs. Ducks · Oilers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$605.00 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers · Penguins | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$596.00 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres · Canadiens | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.00 |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes · Golden Knights | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$295.66 |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$502.50at 0.497Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$320.57at 0.505Wild vs. Stars
- +$291.37at 0.417Canadiens vs. Lightning
- +$235.14at 0.477Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$198.20at 0.473Bruins vs. Sabres
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 01:38 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $245.00 |
| 09-03 01:35 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.67 | $167.49 |
| 08-31 01:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 08-11 08:28 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.958 | $95.80 |
| 06-22 10:46 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.3 | $80.70 |
| 06-20 15:54 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 06-19 16:22 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.19 | $123.50 |
| 06-14 16:25 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $500.00 |
| 06-12 17:22 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 06-10 09:39 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 06-10 09:38 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 06-09 10:48 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 06-09 10:45 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 06-09 10:06 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 06-09 09:25 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |