Defiants
0x0aea83ab54bc6ef477d2e0950533cf06bf542d29
- Realised P&L
- $-242.85
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $26.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.50at 0.250Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5
- +$4.67at 0.600Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 29?
- +$3.94at 0.640Will Debreceni VSC win on 2026-07-26?
- +$3.77at 0.650Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?
- +$3.77at 0.650Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-07-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 06:15 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.82 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 07:07 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 07:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $4.83 |
| 06-16 23:45 | Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 06-16 23:45 | Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5) | BUY | 0.8599999908 | $7.50 |
| 06-16 23:45 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $7.50 |
| 06-16 23:44 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $7.50 |
| 06-16 23:44 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $7.50 |
| 06-16 23:29 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.72 |
| 04-16 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17? | BUY | 0.7699999557 | $3.06 |
| 04-16 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17? | BUY | 0.659999996 | $3.18 |
| 04-16 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16? | BUY | 0.7199999667 | $3.36 |
| 04-15 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on April 16? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.54 |