PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Defiants

0x0aea83ab54bc6ef477d2e0950533cf06bf542d29

Realised P&L
$-242.85
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$26.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 3? · No0.7201.000$6.25+$1.75
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 3? · No0.7701.000$5.84+$1.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? · Yes0.7000.905$5.82+$1.32
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-04? · No0.6600.675$4.60+$0.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4? · No0.7000.590$3.37$0.63
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.6300.645$0.98+$0.02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 1? · No0.7600.000$0.00$7.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No0.6600.000$0.00$7.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$7.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$7.00
Will Cerezo Osaka win on 2026-07-29? · No0.7900.000$0.00$6.99
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-07-29? · No0.7900.000$0.00$7.00
Will Budapest Honved FC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$7.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 29? · No0.7500.000$0.00$7.00
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 3? · No0.7500.000$0.00$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 06:15LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.82$5.00
06-20 07:07Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.8$5.00
06-20 07:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?SELL0.71$4.83
06-16 23:45Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5BUY0.25$7.50
06-16 23:45Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)BUY0.8599999908$7.50
06-16 23:45San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.7099999915$7.50
06-16 23:44Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)BUY0.52$7.50
06-16 23:44Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)BUY0.52$7.50
06-16 23:29San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.549999956$5.00
05-19 21:39Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 21?BUY0.85$2.00
04-16 15:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16?SELL0.12$0.72
04-16 06:32Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17?BUY0.7699999557$3.06
04-16 05:38Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?BUY0.659999996$3.18
04-16 02:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16?BUY0.7199999667$3.36
04-15 23:57Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on April 16?BUY0.73$3.54