testola
0x0ae2f15d223ce6ca7e15b008398030b2f491b12f
- Realised P&L
- $490.78
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 989
- Open portfolio
- $0.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded989
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 22?
- +$38.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?
- +$37.96at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?
- +$37.96at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?
- +$37.96at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.99344375 | $39.74 |
| 09-17 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.995 | $39.80 |
| 09-17 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.991500125 | $39.65 |
| 09-16 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.72 |
| 09-16 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-15 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-14 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.995 | $39.80 |
| 09-12 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 09-11 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 09-10 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.97952325 | $39.18 |
| 09-06 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6? | SELL | 0.8528765 | $34.12 |
| 09-05 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-01 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 08-31 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $39.76 |
| 08-27 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 27? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.91 |