0x0ade2a1648f628a5339452a8f5f60bbc30a7755e
- Realised P&L
- $-8.18
- Volume
- $277.30
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $8.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.595 | $5.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.770 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.89at 0.207Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.49at 0.872Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.47at 0.914Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.996Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.02at 0.540Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 10:37 | Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 10:37 | Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 23:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1829999571 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 23:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2059999567 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 14:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2009999483 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 14:08 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1929999537 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 14:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 23:49 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 23:48 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 20:17 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 02:19 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 02:18 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 02:17 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 02:17 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 02:15 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |