0x0adb294337e1bf3395735d0378504e1ab7e921d3
0x0adb294337e1bf3395735d0378504e1ab7e921d3
- Realised P&L
- $-17.79
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 544
- Open portfolio
- $10.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded544
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly vs. Idaho State · Cal Poly | 0.050 | 1.000 | $5.49 | +$5.22 |
| LSU vs. Kentucky · LSU | 0.570 | 0.535 | $2.82 | −$0.18 |
| Northern Colorado vs. Eastern Washington · Northern Colorado | 0.040 | 0.035 | $0.52 | −$0.08 |
| Air Force vs. Northern Illinois · Northern Illinois | 0.035 | 0.025 | $0.51 | −$0.19 |
| Kansas vs. Utah · Kansas | 0.030 | 0.022 | $0.45 | −$0.15 |
| Tarleton State vs. Austin Peay · Austin Peay | 0.050 | 0.045 | $0.23 | −$0.03 |
| Coastal Carolina vs. Marshall · Marshall | 0.030 | 0.006 | $0.15 | −$0.60 |
| West Georgia vs. Eastern Kentucky · West Georgia | 0.030 | 0.005 | $0.14 | −$0.61 |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State · San Diego State | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.74 |
| Cal Poly vs. Idaho State · Idaho State | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 16? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.96 |
| Western Michigan vs. Buffalo · Buffalo | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
| Kentucky vs. South Carolina · South Carolina | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.92at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?
- +$99.15at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?
- +$21.09at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?
- +$19.50at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?
- +$18.17at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:59 | LSU vs. Kentucky | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 00:42 | West Georgia vs. Eastern Kentucky | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 10-10 23:06 | UCLA vs. Oregon | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 10-10 23:06 | UCLA vs. Oregon | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 10-10 22:59 | Virginia Tech vs. California | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 10-10 22:43 | Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 10-10 21:19 | Miami (OH) vs. UMass | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 10-10 21:19 | Miami (OH) vs. UMass | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 10-10 21:15 | Miami (OH) vs. UMass | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 10-10 19:43 | New Hampshire vs. North Carolina A&T | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-10 19:20 | New Hampshire vs. North Carolina A&T | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-10 19:09 | North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 10-10 17:45 | Stonehill vs. Sacred Heart | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-10 17:45 | Stonehill vs. Sacred Heart | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-10 17:45 | Stonehill vs. Sacred Heart | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |