firelifestyler
0x0ada0a901228ed80830cb6f1604bcb55992d0826
- Realised P&L
- $91.53
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $266.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.942 | $94.20 | +$16.20 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.935 | $65.45 | +$30.45 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.943 | 0.946 | $37.82 | +$0.10 |
| QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.550 | 0.450 | $22.95 | −$5.10 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? · No | 0.620 | 0.695 | $21.06 | +$2.28 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.810 | 0.915 | $20.13 | +$2.31 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.065 | $4.55 | −$30.45 |
| APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.204 | 0.021 | $0.32 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.06at 0.649Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$17.10at 0.810Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?
- +$14.26at 0.390Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
- +$14.09at 0.817Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?
- +$12.18at 0.760Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 15:41 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $37.72 |
| 09-14 15:11 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.891 | $35.64 |
| 08-10 08:53 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.204 | $3.22 |
| 07-29 12:14 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.652 | $26.08 |
| 07-17 15:54 | QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $28.05 |
| 07-09 14:37 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? | BUY | 0.6199009901 | $18.78 |
| 07-07 10:15 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 06-22 08:23 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $18.25 |
| 06-22 08:14 | Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.61 | $14.64 |
| 06-22 08:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $83.69 |
| 06-10 17:05 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $80.09 |
| 06-10 16:56 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.929 | $120.77 |
| 05-30 10:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.81 | $17.82 |
| 05-30 09:46 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $65.82 |
| 04-10 07:55 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $60.52 |