0x0ad851fe23288a7ef40f7ddd275ba95b5613a6ac
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $11.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.280 | 0.265 | $7.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.425 | 0.368 | $1.73 | −$0.27 |
| Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH) · Yes | 0.052 | 0.066 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $6.00 |
| 11-02 11:26 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 10:56 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 07:18 | Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH) | BUY | 0.0519390564 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 07:10 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4249999416 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 07:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |