dxfwe5tq234t6
0x0ad32c38dbf377f52c598aaff8555e6445fe97f3
- Realised P&L
- $281.27
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $1.35 | −$3.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.50at 0.550Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 6?
- +$0.54at 0.952Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?
- +$0.23at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?
- +$0.23at 0.982Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?
- +$0.20at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 05:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.9869999747 | $13.60 |
| 08-17 05:34 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.50 |
| 07-29 06:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $12.60 |
| 07-29 06:22 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9979999772 | $32.50 |
| 07-24 07:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.90 |
| 07-24 07:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-24 07:05 | Will XRP reach $1.25 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9983208038 | $31.50 |
| 07-23 06:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $12.60 |
| 07-23 06:51 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9989999851 | $31.50 |
| 07-20 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.40 |
| 07-20 06:07 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.90 |
| 07-17 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.90 |
| 07-17 07:52 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 17? | BUY | 0.9979999911 | $35.60 |
| 07-13 07:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.997999979 | $13.90 |
| 07-13 07:47 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.80 |