0x0AC376bce0A52C4Fd776f82575D8171869d9BAFb-1768574969524
0x0ac376bce0a52c4fd776f82575d8171869d9bafb
- Realised P&L
- $20.78
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $27.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.85at 0.778Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?
- +$15.23at 0.238Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?
- +$14.22at 0.839Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?
- +$12.75at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?
- +$9.23at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-08 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-08 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.75 |
| 10-08 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.33 |
| 10-08 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 10-07 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-07 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.44 |
| 10-07 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.9381447964 | $20.73 |
| 10-07 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-07 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.80 |
| 10-06 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-06 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.29 |
| 10-06 07:45 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.10 |
| 10-06 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.73 |