etrtertre
0x0ac193d81cdad9a68884b7d06049e8cfe961c537
- Realised P&L
- $-11.35
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $3.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.920 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.966 | $1.13 | +$0.05 |
| Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes | 0.975 | 0.953 | $1.00 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.45at 0.640Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
- +$0.93at 0.700Will Jahmyr Gibbs score a touchdown?
- +$0.78at 0.720Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?
- +$0.43at 0.700Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
- +$0.09at 0.831Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:59 | Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:59 | Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.97 | $0.97 |
| 07-29 05:59 | Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:58 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $239.76 |
| 07-29 05:56 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.992 | $59.88 |
| 07-27 06:47 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $60.00 |
| 07-27 06:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $240.00 |
| 07-27 06:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $239.52 |
| 07-27 06:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $240.00 |
| 06-01 05:37 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $49.95 |
| 05-29 11:36 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $50.00 |
| 05-14 07:49 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $75.07 |
| 05-11 12:28 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $75.00 |
| 05-11 12:28 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $74.78 |