0x0abc7ac9509d32488b4c3a27bb6011c6037dc9c1
- Realised P&L
- $5.49
- Volume
- $114.23
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $19.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.999 | $2.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No | 0.460 | 0.565 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.475 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.315 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.770 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.735 | $2.21 | +$0.97 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.855 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.835 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.300 | $1.07 | −$0.93 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.330 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.71at 0.350Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.96at 0.440Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
- +$1.83at 0.390Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.10at 0.640Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.07at 0.650Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:36 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:36 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 19:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 19:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6899997205 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:19 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:18 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 11:04 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 15:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 15:09 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:29 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 19:29 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |