0x0ab6cd0b8c30c432d5991fbbf34278944f5b995c
0x0ab6cd0b8c30c432d5991fbbf34278944f5b995c
- Realised P&L
- $44.70
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $17.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.225 | $17.87 | −$2.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.22at 0.181Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$-26.52at 0.141Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 13:07 | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2518159804 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 12:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $145.40 |
| 07-14 12:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $26.39 |
| 07-14 12:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $26.66 |
| 07-03 07:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999969 | $43.62 |
| 06-25 13:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $44.07 |
| 06-17 14:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $44.07 |
| 06-17 12:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $44.51 |
| 06-14 18:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1742574688 | $86.18 |
| 06-14 12:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.1451178608 | $87.05 |
| 05-29 18:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1781334431 | $34.49 |
| 05-27 08:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $65.00 |