oiosj
0x0a987ba44e673c7d5155f67cd7d4e4827868485a
- Realised P&L
- $-13.20
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 928
- Open portfolio
- $39.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded928
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on November 3? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $9.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19? · No | 0.988 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 14? · No | 0.947 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14? · No | 0.961 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.90at 0.711Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?
- +$1.82at 0.818Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?
- +$1.24at 0.876Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 12?
- +$1.20at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 14?
- +$0.72at 0.927Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or higher on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-26 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-26 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on October 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-25 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on October 25? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 10-25 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 10-24 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-23 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-23 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on October 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-23 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-23 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on October 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-22 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on October 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |