shaolinpanda
0x0a8e624c034eca8ea3e686a2bf218b0b4b16dec8
- Realised P&L
- $-0.09
- Volume
- $341.66
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $179.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26? · No | 0.599 | 1.000 | $81.92 | +$32.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 26? · No | 0.669 | 1.000 | $58.28 | +$19.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28? · No | 0.610 | 0.650 | $39.51 | +$2.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 25? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 14? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.18at 0.701Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 23?
- +$5.86at 0.666Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25?
- +$5.03at 0.676Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?
- +$3.81at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24?
- +$2.78at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $37.08 |
| 09-25 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.6695384563 | $39.04 |
| 09-25 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5985481608 | $49.06 |
| 09-24 09:38 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.6542955735 | $11.47 |
| 09-23 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.6799999968 | $8.38 |
| 09-23 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.6699999803 | $10.52 |
| 09-23 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.64 | $13.20 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.6899999942 | $16.55 |
| 09-20 13:08 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.96 |
| 09-20 13:08 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.80 |
| 09-20 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.7399999838 | $8.22 |
| 09-17 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.6649999997 | $10.32 |
| 09-13 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |