PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0a829485Bb137d0AC4B769aF1De71ac45bF8cB97-1773329970868

0x0a829485bb137d0ac4b769af1de71ac45bf8cb97

Realised P&L
$-47.04
Volume
$284.93
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$6.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2260.142$6.30$3.70
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%? · Yes0.4700.007$0.08$4.92
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? · Yes0.0890.004$0.05$0.95
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 15:17Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.998$8.04
03-24 22:24Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?BUY0.0882601523$4.00
03-20 19:18Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
03-20 19:18Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?BUY0.0890000004$1.00
03-20 19:15Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.2261938319$10.00
03-20 19:14Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
03-20 19:13Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
03-20 19:11Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?BUY0.4224341894$10.00
03-15 01:34Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
03-15 01:34Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0559999498$1.00
03-15 01:33Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.8359998997$1.00
03-15 01:32US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
03-14 16:32Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
03-14 09:45Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?BUY0.7360108041$10.00
03-13 17:16Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.25$10.00