friggs
0x0a7cb3cb704b80f0fd8b5f5f7e6750f274b2a637
- Realised P&L
- $7.94
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $13.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? · No | 0.620 | 0.535 | $13.76 | −$2.19 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8? · Yes | 0.619 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.76 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 8? · No | 0.884 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.27 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.61at 0.572Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$37.10at 0.370Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
- +$29.86at 0.470Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$14.75at 0.750Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$5.74at 0.760Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 15:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6189999928 | $12.76 |
| 01-31 14:08 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.57 |
| 01-30 14:32 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.87 |
| 01-30 12:05 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9973657152 | $19.64 |
| 01-30 11:53 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.85 |
| 12-30 15:40 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.11 |
| 12-30 12:42 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.53 |
| 12-30 00:35 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998979 | $5.44 |
| 12-29 22:14 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.01 |
| 12-29 20:10 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999903 | $48.69 |
| 10-30 19:19 | Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999732 | $26.27 |
| 10-30 18:55 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.49 |
| 09-29 16:27 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999757 | $11.38 |
| 09-29 13:24 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999544 | $19.95 |
| 09-29 03:53 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999723 | $16.85 |