navyva
0x0a7ae4a2c54aadbcf8c79b2e3964671555f9e55c
- Realised P&L
- $11.91
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $44.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.592 | 0.615 | $41.55 | +$1.55 |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Up | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.00at 0.787Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$5.51at 0.482Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5
- +$2.65at 0.070Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$1.56at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$0.52at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 21:17 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 21:09 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.073 | $82.64 |
| 10-17 21:08 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0344933627 | $35.18 |
| 08-24 16:43 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.71 |
| 08-24 16:41 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $8.28 |
| 08-24 07:09 | Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 07:08 | Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 07:05 | Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 18:28 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5920400219 | $40.00 |
| 08-23 07:05 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0818154856 | $40.00 |
| 08-23 07:05 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.057966919 | $40.00 |
| 08-21 16:44 | Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.52 | $4.90 |
| 08-21 16:43 | Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 16:32 | Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 12-25 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |