0x0A77exmm
0x0a77bc0638f13892c8b1d1d2c13ba178540f9d74
- Realised P&L
- $68.5k
- Volume
- $20.17M
- Markets traded
- 5,446
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,446
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio vs. South Alabama · South Alabama | 0.655 | 0.705 | $7.0k | +$496.30 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.550 | 0.475 | $690.65 | −$109.05 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.600 | 0.075 | $235.05 | −$1.6k |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Atlanta Braves | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.80 | −$639.20 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.7k |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Atlanta Braves | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$479.78 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$319.90 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? · No | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$599.76 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.622 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-29? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$896.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.5kat 0.407England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$17.5kat 0.390Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$15.9kat 0.585Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$15.1kat 0.442Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$13.7kat 0.451Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:33 | Ohio vs. South Alabama | BUY | 0.65537 | $6.6k |
| 06-25 03:59 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.47 | $3.03 |
| 06-25 03:59 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.47 | $268.37 |
| 06-25 03:59 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.4557414601 | $680.42 |
| 06-25 03:59 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.4494491352 | $811.25 |
| 06-25 03:58 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.4980827994 | $2.4k |
| 02-27 20:56 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.055495883 | $554.96 |
| 02-27 20:55 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.282292474 | $1.9k |
| 02-08 18:30 | Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.0348441 | $3.48 |
| 02-07 18:22 | Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds | BUY | 0.7 | $1.0k |
| 02-07 04:36 | Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds | BUY | 0.5291940969 | $1.6k |
| 01-27 02:22 | Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $1.2k |
| 12-26 17:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.015 | $154.50 |
| 12-20 02:15 | Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.0k |
| 12-20 02:01 | Stars vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.49 | $1.5k |